The Citadel
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#335
Expected Predictive Rating-14.1#337
Pace81.0#9
Improvement-3.7#311

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#316
First Shot-3.7#285
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#308
Layup/Dunks-3.6#313
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#43
Freethrows-1.8#300
Improvement-4.4#339

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#327
First Shot-4.7#318
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#324
Layups/Dunks-1.7#253
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#290
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#270
Freethrows+0.6#140
Improvement+0.6#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 30 - 90 - 17
Quad 43 - 73 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 308   UNC Asheville L 76-91 47%     0 - 1 -26.2 -8.6 -16.7
  Nov 12, 2019 89   @ Georgia L 86-95 4%     0 - 2 +0.0 +1.6 -0.1
  Nov 16, 2019 271   Campbell L 73-87 39%     0 - 3 -23.3 -8.7 -13.6
  Nov 19, 2019 340   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 74-69 40%     1 - 3 -4.4 -11.3 +6.4
  Nov 20, 2019 31   @ Illinois L 57-85 1%     1 - 4 -12.6 -7.2 -6.0
  Nov 23, 2019 318   @ Marist W 79-75 29%     2 - 4 -2.3 +2.9 -5.4
  Dec 04, 2019 65   East Tennessee St. L 84-96 6%     2 - 5 0 - 1 -6.9 +7.4 -13.3
  Dec 19, 2019 315   @ Longwood W 102-99 3OT 28%     3 - 5 -3.1 -1.6 -2.5
  Dec 22, 2019 45   @ North Carolina St. L 63-83 2%     3 - 6 -7.0 -9.0 +3.4
  Jan 01, 2020 321   @ Samford L 68-69 31%     3 - 7 0 - 2 -7.9 -15.0 +7.1
  Jan 04, 2020 155   Western Carolina L 82-86 17%     3 - 8 0 - 3 -6.1 -1.2 -4.6
  Jan 11, 2020 148   @ Wofford L 71-73 7%     3 - 9 0 - 4 +2.3 -5.6 +8.1
  Jan 15, 2020 96   UNC Greensboro L 69-79 10%     3 - 10 0 - 5 -7.7 -11.5 +5.3
  Jan 18, 2020 252   @ VMI L 79-88 18%     3 - 11 0 - 6 -11.3 -2.1 -8.4
  Jan 22, 2020 143   @ Chattanooga L 69-92 7%     3 - 12 0 - 7 -18.5 -9.6 -7.0
  Jan 25, 2020 83   Furman L 54-78 8%     3 - 13 0 - 8 -20.7 -21.7 +3.0
  Jan 29, 2020 148   Wofford L 56-79 17%     3 - 14 0 - 9 -24.7 -19.7 -4.6
  Feb 01, 2020 187   @ Mercer L 71-76 10%     3 - 15 0 - 10 -3.2 +1.2 -4.5
  Feb 05, 2020 96   @ UNC Greensboro L 68-88 4%     3 - 16 0 - 11 -11.7 -2.6 -8.0
  Feb 08, 2020 252   VMI L 64-75 36%     3 - 17 0 - 12 -19.3 -11.2 -8.7
  Feb 12, 2020 65   @ East Tennessee St. L 67-91 3%     3 - 18 0 - 13 -12.9 +1.2 -14.5
  Feb 15, 2020 321   Samford L 62-74 53%     3 - 19 0 - 14 -25.0 -23.9 -0.3
  Feb 19, 2020 143   Chattanooga L 68-91 16%     3 - 20 0 - 15 -24.5 -15.3 -6.8
  Feb 22, 2020 155   @ Western Carolina L 84-96 8%     3 - 21 0 - 16 -8.1 +4.4 -11.7
  Feb 26, 2020 187   Mercer L 57-73 23%     3 - 22 0 - 17 -20.2 -19.0 -0.7
  Feb 29, 2020 83   @ Furman L 58-82 3%     3 - 23 0 - 18 -14.6 -9.4 -5.5
  Mar 06, 2020 148   Wofford L 76-93 11%     3 - 24 -15.7 +1.5 -16.9
Projected Record 3 - 24 0 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18 100.0% 100.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%